Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 19Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontypridd Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town?
On Elo ratings, Llantwit Major has 1,561 points and Pontypridd Town 1,646.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llantwit Major
Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Llantwit Major wins, 2 draws, 1 Pontypridd Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 4-1 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 0-4 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Llantwit Major 2-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Llantwit Major 1-1 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Pontypridd Town 1-1 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Llantwit Major 3-1 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major on Oct 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major.
- Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd Town is played on December 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026llanelli AFCvsSwansea University
- Dec 26, 2026Carmarthen TownvsPontardawe Town
- Dec 26, 2026Afan LidovsBaglan Dragons
- Dec 26, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsCardiff Draconians
- Dec 26, 2026Ynyshir AlbionsvsNewport City
- Dec 26, 2026Treowen StarsvsAberystwyth Town
- Dec 27, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsTrethomas Bluebirds