Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Ponferradina. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,738 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Racing Ferrol (1,900) and Ponferradina (1,982).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 19Roberto Arroyo
- 11Endika Bujan
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 22Saúl García
- 3Edgar Pujol
- 1Lucas Díaz
Ponferradina
4-3-3- 10Borja Valle
- 7C. Calderon
- 11Quicala Bari
- 6Fede San Emeterio
- 15O. Vacas
- 8Arturo Molina
- 4A. Jelbat
- 3Sergio Nieto
- 24Koke
- 2David Andújar
- 1Álex Domínguez
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Ponferradina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mirandes(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Racing Ferrol wins, 0 draws, 3 Ponferradina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Ponferradina 3-0 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Racing Ferrol 2-1 Ponferradina | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Ponferradina 0-2 Racing Ferrol | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Ponferradina 2-1 Racing Ferrol | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 1-2 Ponferradina | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ponferradina vs Racing Ferrol on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Ponferradina | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Ferrol sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 9 matches) and Ponferradina sit 10th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
A question about Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Ponferradina.
- Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina played?
- Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.