RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
On Elo ratings, RSD Alcalá has 1,881 points and Las Palmas 1,975.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
RSD Alcalá
4-3-3- 10Izan
- 23I. Robledo
- 19N. Sanchez
- 11Javi Hernández
- 7J. Arribas
- 8S. Marcos
- 22D. Nieto
- 15Chete
- 4H. Torres
- 12M. Lopez
- 1I. Gil
Las Palmas
5-4-1- 7Jefté Betancor
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 6Iñaki González Zambrano
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 23A. Rodriguez
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Las Palmas have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 5-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSD Alcalá | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas played?
- RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.