Match

Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell: prediction and stats

Welsh CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)The Ring, Llay

Llay Miners WelfareHolywell

The Footlab AI model makes Holywell the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Llay Miners Welfare. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell?

Holywell starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (1,712 vs 1,425).

30%20%50%
Llay Miners Welfare winDrawHolywell win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Llay Miners Welfare

Not enough data to predict the Llay Miners Welfare lineup.

Holywell

4-3-3
  1. 27M. Yonsian
  2. 18Caio Hughes
  3. 19J. Sconce
  1. 7T. Bibby
  2. 34R. Edwards
  3. 8T. Dogan
  1. 12Jack Tierney
  2. 6D. Sullivan
  3. 2Casey Bedford
  4. 3M. Davies
  1. 1A. Swindell

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llay Miners Welfare have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Holywell have 1, 2 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llay Miners Welfare
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2025Guilsfield(home)1-2FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2025Denbigh Town(away)0-5FAW Championship
Mar 29, 2025Prestatyn Town(home)3-2FAW Championship
Mar 22, 2025Caersws(away)2-3FAW Championship
Mar 18, 2025Airbus UK(home)0-5FAW Championship
Holywell
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Ammanford AFC(away)1-2Premier League
Sep 26, 2026Briton Ferry(home)1-1Premier League
Sep 18, 2026Haverfordwest County AFC(away)0-1Premier League
Sep 15, 2026Colwyn Bay(home)0-5Premier League
Sep 11, 2026Cambrian & Clydach(away)1-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Llay Miners Welfare wins, 0 draws, 3 Holywell wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 26, 2024Holywell 2-0 Llay Miners WelfareFAW Championship
Aug 23, 2024Llay Miners Welfare 2-5 HolywellFAW Championship
Aug 3, 2024Holywell 3-1 Llay Miners WelfareLeague Cup

Last archived meeting: Holywell vs Llay Miners Welfare on Dec 26, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Llay Miners Welfare score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 1.3 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llay Miners Welfare0.92.9011/1511/15
Holywell1.32.9110/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell?
The Footlab AI model makes Holywell the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Llay Miners Welfare.
Where and when is Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell played?
Llay Miners Welfare vs Holywell is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at The Ring, in the Welsh Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Llay Miners Welfare and Holywell

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