Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948?
CSKA 1948 starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Plovdiv have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; CSKA 1948 have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 CSKA 1948 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-5 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | CSKA 1948 4-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| May 25, 2025 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSKA 1948 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | First League |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA 1948 score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| CSKA 1948 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 12th in First League (3 points from 6 matches) and CSKA 1948 sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 played?
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.