Jagiellonia II vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Jagiellonia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,775) and Łomża (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jagiellonia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Łomża win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Jagiellonia II 0-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Łomża 2-0 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Łomża 2-2 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Jagiellonia II 2-1 Łomża | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 1-4 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 0-3 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Łomża on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia II sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Jagiellonia II.
- Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Łomża played?
- Jagiellonia II vs Łomża is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsWarta Sieradz
- Mar 27, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Mar 27, 2027SwitvsPelikan Łowicz
- Mar 27, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsMławianka Mława
- Mar 27, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWidzew II
- Mar 27, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWigry Suwałki
- Mar 27, 2027TroszynvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Mar 27, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWeszlo