Match

Jagiellonia II vs Łomża: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok

Jagiellonia IIŁomża

The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Jagiellonia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,775) and Łomża (1,844).

Jagiellonia II win36 %
Draw25 %
Łomża win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Weszlo(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Wigry Suwałki(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Łomża
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Wisła Płock II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)2-5III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Weszlo(home)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)2-3III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jagiellonia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Łomża win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Jagiellonia II 0-2 ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1
Oct 18, 2025Łomża 2-0 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1
Mar 22, 2025Łomża 2-2 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1
Feb 15, 2025Jagiellonia II 2-1 ŁomżaFriendlies Clubs
Aug 25, 2024Jagiellonia II 1-4 ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1
Apr 13, 2024Jagiellonia II 0-3 ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Łomża on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia II1.61.739/159/15
Łomża1.71.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia II sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Jagiellonia II5221998
15Łomża50235102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Jagiellonia II.
Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Łomża played?
Jagiellonia II vs Łomża is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Jagiellonia II and Łomża

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