ŁKS Łódź II vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for ŁKS Łódź II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ŁKS Łódź II vs Łomża?
Łomża starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ŁKS Łódź II have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
ŁKS Łódź II score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ŁKS Łódź II sit 18th in III Liga - Group 1 (0 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 18 | ŁKS Łódź II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ŁKS Łódź II vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for ŁKS Łódź II.
- Where and when is ŁKS Łódź II vs Łomża played?
- ŁKS Łódź II vs Łomża is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Aug 29, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsMławianka Mława
- Aug 29, 2026TroszynvsWeszlo
- Aug 29, 2026SwitvsWarta Sieradz
- Aug 29, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsWigry Suwałki
- Aug 29, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Aug 29, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsPelikan Łowicz
- Aug 30, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsWidzew II