Los Angeles FC vs Austin: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, California
The Footlab AI model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Austin. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Austin?
Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Los Angeles FC vs Austin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Los Angeles FC
4-3-3- 9A. Sieb
- 7Son Heung-Min
- 99D. Bouanga
- 23Y. Cheberko
- 4E. Segura
- 8M. Delgado
- 14Sergi Palencia
- 91N. Tafari
- 5R. Porteous
- 24R. Hollingshead
- 1H. Lloris
Austin
3-4-3- 11F. Torres
- 21C. Ramirez
- 9B. Vázquez
- 14B. Šabović
- 17J. Gallagher
- 38Ervin Torres
- 30J. Rosales
- 3M. Desler
- 15J. Bell
- 29Guilherme Biro
- 1B. Stuver
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Austin have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Dallas(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 10, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Dallas(away) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 6, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Los Angeles FC wins, 2 draws, 2 Austin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Austin 0-0 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Austin 1-4 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 2-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Austin 1-0 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 0-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 1-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Austin vs Los Angeles FC on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Austin | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles FC sit 6th in Major League Soccer (41 points from 28 matches) and Austin sit 13th (31 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 41 |
| 13 | Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | 31 |
A question about Los Angeles FC vs Austin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Austin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Austin.
- Where and when is Los Angeles FC vs Austin played?
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin is played on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BMO Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 14, 2026Toronto FCvsOrlando City SC
- Oct 14, 2026Columbus CrewvsCharlotte
- Oct 14, 2026CF MontrealvsAtlanta United FC
- Oct 14, 2026DC UnitedvsNew York Red Bulls
- Oct 14, 2026FC CincinnativsNew England Revolution
- Oct 14, 2026Inter MiamivsNew York City FC
- Oct 15, 2026Nashville SCvsSporting Kansas City
- Oct 15, 2026FC DallasvsSeattle Sounders