Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Colorado Rapids. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Los Angeles Galaxy (1,780) and Colorado Rapids (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Colorado Rapids have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Colorado Rapids win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Colorado Rapids 4-1 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 3-0 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Colorado Rapids 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Colorado Rapids 1-4 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Los Angeles Galaxy 5-0 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Colorado Rapids 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colorado Rapids score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Colorado Rapids | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 22 matches) and Colorado Rapids sit 7th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Colorado Rapids.
- Where and when is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids played?
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Dignity Health Sports Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 26, 2026Philadelphia UnionvsOrlando City SC
- Sep 26, 2026Atlanta United FCvsNew York City FC
- Sep 26, 2026CF MontrealvsFC Cincinnati
- Sep 26, 2026CharlottevsChicago Fire
- Sep 27, 2026AustinvsSan Diego
- Sep 27, 2026Seattle SoundersvsMinnesota United FC
- Sep 27, 2026FC DallasvsLos Angeles FC