Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Los Angeles Galaxy (1,764) and Seattle Sounders (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Seattle Sounders have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Seattle Sounders win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Seattle Sounders 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 0-2 Seattle Sounders | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy 0-4 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Seattle Sounders 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy | Leagues Cup |
Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Seattle Sounders | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 22 matches) and Seattle Sounders sit 13th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Seattle Sounders.
- Where and when is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders played?
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Dignity Health Sports Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Orlando City SCvsToronto FC
- Sep 12, 2026Columbus CrewvsNew York Red Bulls
- Sep 12, 2026DC UnitedvsAtlanta United FC
- Sep 12, 2026FC CincinnativsCharlotte
- Sep 12, 2026Inter MiamivsNashville SC
- Sep 13, 2026Sporting Kansas CityvsLos Angeles FC
- Sep 13, 2026FC DallasvsPortland Timbers
- Sep 13, 2026St. Louis CityvsMinnesota United FC