Match

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, California

Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders

The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Los Angeles Galaxy (1,764) and Seattle Sounders (1,799).

Los Angeles Galaxy win50 %
Draw24 %
Seattle Sounders win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles Galaxy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Seattle Sounders have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Angeles Galaxy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026FC Dallas(home)0-0Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Cincinnati(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Austin(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Guadalajara Chivas(home)1-2Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Club Queretaro(home)3-0Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Los Angeles Galaxy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Seattle Sounders win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Seattle Sounders 0-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Sep 14, 2025Seattle Sounders 2-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Aug 28, 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 0-2 Seattle SoundersLeagues Cup
Aug 11, 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 0-4 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Dec 1, 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Aug 9, 2024Seattle Sounders 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyLeagues Cup

Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Los Angeles Galaxy score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Angeles Galaxy1.11.349/157/15
Seattle Sounders0.91.919/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Los Angeles Galaxy sit 12th in Major League Soccer (26 points from 22 matches) and Seattle Sounders sit 13th (25 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Los Angeles Galaxy22688273226
13Seattle Sounders20749222725

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles Galaxy the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Seattle Sounders.
Where and when is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders played?
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Dignity Health Sports Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Los Angeles Galaxy and Seattle Sounders

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