Louletano vs Rio Ave: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 64Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Algarve, Almancil
The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Louletano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rio Ave wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Louletano vs Rio Ave?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Louletano (2,028) and Rio Ave (2,063).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Louletano vs Rio Ave
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Louletano
4-3-3- 27N. Martelo
- 23Daniel Paulino
- 9Gonçalo Teixeira
- 3Tiago Correia
- 8Sander Ramires
- 10Vítor Gonçalves
- 97Elvis Mendes
- 12Gabriel Passos
- 14Luca van der Gaag
- 29R. Teixeira
- 71Marcão
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1- 11J. Blesa
- 7Diogo Bezerra
- 5A. Ntoi
- 79M. Patricio
- 54G. Liavas
- 80S. Clemmensen
- 20João Tomé
- 39Gustavo Mancha
- 17M. Vrousai
- 23F. Petrasso
- 32Vitor Hugo
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Louletano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rio Ave have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Serpa(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | União Santarém(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Castrense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Louletano score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Ave score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louletano | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Rio Ave | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Louletano vs Rio Ave?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Louletano vs Rio Ave?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Louletano.
- Where and when is Louletano vs Rio Ave played?
- Louletano vs Rio Ave is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Algarve, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.