Rio Ave vs Famalicao: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
The Footlab AI model makes Famalicao the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Rio Ave. The most likely score is 1-1. If Famalicao wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
Famalicao starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (2,210 vs 2,065).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rio Ave vs Famalicao
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1- 11J. Blesa
- 7Diogo Bezerra
- 44T. Nikitscher
- 5A. Ntoi
- 79M. Patricio
- 30R. Galčík
- 23F. Petrasso
- 24Pedro Amaral
- 20João Tomé
- 3S. Garcia
- 99E. van der Gouw
Famalicao
4-2-3-1- 70G. Koutsias
- 14Mathias De Amorim
- 7Sorriso
- 8Marcos Peña
- 23Gil Dias
- 21Tamás Szücs
- 17Rodrigo Pinheiro
- 28Pedro Francisco
- 4F. van Breemen
- 15Víctor Rofino
- 25L. Carević
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Ave have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Famalicao have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rio Ave wins, 4 draws, 2 Famalicao wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Rio Ave 0-0 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Famalicao 0-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Famalicao 1-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Ave score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Famalicao score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Famalicao | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Ave sit 16th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 7 matches) and Famalicao sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
- The Footlab AI model makes Famalicao the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Rio Ave.
- Where and when is Rio Ave vs Famalicao played?
- Rio Ave vs Famalicao is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.