Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Sofia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia (1,627) and Lokomotiv Sofia (1,689).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1- 29F. Herard
- 5Y. Baurenski
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8B. Penchev
- 33G. Ivanov
- 13K. Önaşçı
- 4M. Hristov
- 26V. Ozornwafor
- 15P. Gospodinov
- 3Sebastian Wade
- 12V. Ivanov
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Sofia wins, 1 draw, 3 Lokomotiv Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 3-0 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| May 20, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-2 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia sit 13th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia played?
- Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.