Match

Ponferradina vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada

PonferradinaZamora

The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Zamora. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,473 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ponferradina vs Zamora?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Ponferradina (1,980) and Zamora (1,987).

44%32%24%
Ponferradina winDrawZamora win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ponferradina vs Zamora

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ponferradina

4-3-3
  1. 10Borja Valle
  2. 7C. Calderon
  3. 11Quicala Bari
  1. 6Fede San Emeterio
  2. 15O. Vacas
  3. 8Arturo Molina
  1. 4A. Jelbat
  2. 3Sergio Nieto
  3. 24Koke
  4. 2David Andújar
  1. 1Álex Domínguez

Zamora

4-3-3
  1. 7Javier Carbonell
  2. 20I. Incera
  3. 19Pau Mascaró
  1. 10Carlos Ramos
  2. 21A. Hidalgo
  3. 17F. Urzain
  1. 5Aleix Gorjón
  2. 3Luismi Luengo
  3. 4Unai Dufur
  4. 18Iago Indias
  1. 1Iker Piedra

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 01:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponferradina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Zamora have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ponferradina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Barakaldo(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Zamora(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Real Avilés(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mirandes(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Pontevedra(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Cacereño(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Mirandes(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026CD Coria(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ponferradina wins, 3 draws, 1 Zamora win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Zamora 1-1 PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Zamora 3-0 PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 19, 2025Ponferradina 2-0 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2025Zamora 1-2 PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 3, 2024Ponferradina 2-2 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 12, 2023Zamora 1-1 PonferradinaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Ponferradina on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ponferradina0.91.176/155/15
Zamora0.91.156/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ponferradina sit 8th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 9 matches) and Zamora sit 12th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Ponferradina93426613
12Zamora933310912

A question about Ponferradina vs Zamora?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ponferradina vs Zamora?
The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Zamora.
Where and when is Ponferradina vs Zamora played?
Ponferradina vs Zamora is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Toralín, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ponferradina and Zamora

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