Where and when is Ponferradina vs Zamora played?

Ponferradina vs Zamora is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Toralín, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ponferradina vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada

Ponferradina

Zamora

The Footlab model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Zamora. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ponferradina vs Zamora?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Ponferradina (1,968) and Zamora (1,974).

Ponferradina win42 %

Draw30 %

Zamora win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponferradina have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Zamora have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ponferradina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Marino de Luanco(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Real Avilés(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Oviedo(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 20, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-4	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

Zamora
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Real Madrid II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026	Sabadell(away)	0-4	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026	Sabadell(home)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026	Villarreal II(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026	Villarreal II(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ponferradina win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Zamora win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Zamora 3-0 Ponferradina	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 19, 2025	Ponferradina 2-0 Zamora	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2025	Zamora 1-2 Ponferradina	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 3, 2024	Ponferradina 2-2 Zamora	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 12, 2023	Zamora 1-1 Ponferradina	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2021	Zamora 0-3 Ponferradina	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Ponferradina on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ponferradina score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ponferradina	1.1	1.3	7	6/15	7/15
Zamora	1.4	1.1	6	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ponferradina sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (60 points from 38 matches) and Zamora sit 3rd (61 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Zamora	38	17	10	11	53	42	61
4	Ponferradina	38	17	9	12	43	33	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ponferradina vs Zamora?: The Footlab model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Zamora.
Where and when is Ponferradina vs Zamora played?: Ponferradina vs Zamora is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Toralín, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.