Match

Cittadella vs Union Brescia: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella

CittadellaUnion Brescia

The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Union Brescia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cittadella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,902 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cittadella vs Union Brescia?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Cittadella (1,871) and Union Brescia (1,889).

41%29%30%
Cittadella winDrawUnion Brescia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cittadella vs Union Brescia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cittadella

4-3-3
  1. 10M. Antonucci
  2. 16J. Ekuban
  3. 7E. Anastasia
  1. 4F. Toffanin
  2. 23L. Paolucci
  3. 19F. D'Alessio
  1. 43A. Ndrecka
  2. 87B. Martella
  3. 24M. Gobbato
  4. 14C. Crialese
  1. 69A. Zanellati

Union Brescia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Crespi
  2. 91A. Spagnoli
  3. 30J. Pellegrini
  1. 25A. Rizzo Pinna
  2. 6A. Mercati
  3. 8D. Balestrero
  1. 28L. Silvestri
  2. 15T. Casasola
  3. 24B. Boci
  4. 95S. Sina
  1. 43G. Zacchi

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Union Brescia have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cittadella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Novara(away)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Albinoleffe(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Lecco(home)3-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Ospitaletto(away)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Union Brescia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Giana Erminio(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 9, 2026PRO Vercelli(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Lecco(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Alcione(away)4-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cittadella wins, 1 draw, 1 Union Brescia win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Union Brescia 2-1 CittadellaSerie C - Girone A
Dec 1, 2025Cittadella 1-1 Union BresciaSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Union Brescia vs Cittadella on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cittadella score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Union Brescia score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cittadella1.70.786/156/15
Union Brescia1.61.158/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cittadella sit 1st in Serie C - Girone A (27 points from 10 matches) and Union Brescia sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Cittadella1090117427
3Union Brescia1054117819

A question about Cittadella vs Union Brescia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cittadella vs Union Brescia?
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Union Brescia.
Where and when is Cittadella vs Union Brescia played?
Cittadella vs Union Brescia is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cittadella and Union Brescia

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