Athletic Carpi vs Alcione: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi
The Footlab model makes Athletic Carpi the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Alcione. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Alcione?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Athletic Carpi (1,739) and Alcione (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athletic Carpi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Alcione have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Forli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Renate(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novara(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Torino(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Athletic Carpi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alcione win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | Alcione 6-1 Athletic Carpi | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Athletic Carpi 1-0 Alcione | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Athletic Carpi on Apr 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Athletic Carpi score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Carpi | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Alcione | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athletic Carpi sit 17th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Alcione sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athletic Carpi vs Alcione?
- The Footlab model makes Athletic Carpi the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Alcione.
- Where and when is Athletic Carpi vs Alcione played?
- Athletic Carpi vs Alcione is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.