Folgore Caratese vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio XXV Aprile, Carate Brianza
The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Folgore Caratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lecco wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Lecco?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Folgore Caratese (1,769) and Lecco (1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Folgore Caratese vs Lecco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Folgore Caratese
4-3-3- 9S. Spalluto
- 61A. Santarcangelo
- 10A. Vacca
- 8F. Castellano
- 99F. D'Amico
- 92A. Tessiore
- 21E. Gega
- 11M. Balzano
- 43Alessandro Bassino
- 24E. Bellia
- 1D. Salvalaggio
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 21A. Metlika
- 6A. Mallamo
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 5M. Arena
- 22T. Vettorel
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore Caratese have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Lecco have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 5-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore Caratese score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore Caratese | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lecco | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folgore Caratese sit 18th in Serie C - Girone A (6 points from 9 matches) and Lecco sit 6th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Folgore Caratese vs Lecco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore Caratese vs Lecco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Folgore Caratese.
- Where and when is Folgore Caratese vs Lecco played?
- Folgore Caratese vs Lecco is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio XXV Aprile, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.