Where and when is Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem played?

Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Tzeirey Tira

FC Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Tzeirey Tira. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Tzeirey Tira (1,691) and FC Jerusalem (1,735).

Tzeirey Tira win34 %

Draw25 %

FC Jerusalem win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tira have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tzeirey Tira
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 19, 2026	Dimona(away)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Nordia Jerusalem(home)	5-2	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Maccabi Ashdod(away)	3-0	Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026	Hapoel Herzliya(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away)	1-2	Liga Alef

FC Jerusalem
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Dimona(home)	4-1	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Nordia Jerusalem(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Maccabi Ashdod(home)	3-3	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Herzliya(away)	5-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)	1-2	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tzeirey Tira win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Jerusalem win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 1, 2026	Tzeirey Tira 2-0 FC Jerusalem	Liga Alef
Jan 3, 2025	FC Jerusalem 2-2 Tzeirey Tira	Liga Alef
Sep 7, 2024	Tzeirey Tira 1-7 FC Jerusalem	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem on Jan 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tzeirey Tira	1.7	0.9	7	5/15	9/15
FC Jerusalem	2.1	1.3	3	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tzeirey Tira sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Jerusalem	22	11	4	7	45	29	37
6	Tzeirey Tira	21	10	3	8	33	24	33

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem?: The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Tzeirey Tira.
Where and when is Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem played?: Tzeirey Tira vs FC Jerusalem is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.