Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Dimona: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Dimona?
Dimona starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Dimona have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dimona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2018 | Dimona 1-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Oct 13, 2017 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 4-1 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Apr 27, 2017 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-4 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Dimona 1-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Dimona vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda on Feb 23, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dimona score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Dimona | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dimona | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Dimona?
- The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Dimona played?
- Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Dimona is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Azor
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi YavnevsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 30, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Hadera
- Sep 30, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 30, 2026Tzeirey TiravsFC Jerusalem
- Sep 30, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Marmorek