Where and when is Mali U17 vs Belgium U17 played?

Mali U17 vs Belgium U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Père-Jégo, in the World Cup - U17.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mali U17 vs Belgium U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Père-Jégo, Casablanca

Mali U17

Belgium U17

The Footlab model makes Belgium U17 the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Mali U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mali U17 vs Belgium U17?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Mali U17 (1,625) and Belgium U17 (1,665).

Mali U17 win38 %

Draw22 %

Belgium U17 win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali U17 have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Belgium U17 have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mali U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Senegal U17(away)	1-1	CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 20, 2026	Tanzania U17(home)	2-1	CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 17, 2026	Mozambique U17(away)	1-1	CAF Cup of Nations - U17
May 14, 2026	Angola U17(home)	0-0	CAF Cup of Nations - U17
Nov 18, 2025	Morocco U17(away)	2-3	World Cup - U17

Belgium U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Italy U17(home)	1-1	UEFA U17 Championship
Jun 4, 2026	France U17(home)	2-1	UEFA U17 Championship
May 31, 2026	Estonia U17(home)	1-0	UEFA U17 Championship
May 28, 2026	Spain U17(home)	0-1	UEFA U17 Championship
May 25, 2026	Croatia U17(away)	2-0	UEFA U17 Championship

How many goals should we expect?

Mali U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mali U17	1.7	1.1	6	8/15	7/15
Belgium U17	2.3	0.9	7	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mali U17 vs Belgium U17?: The Footlab model makes Belgium U17 the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Mali U17.
Where and when is Mali U17 vs Belgium U17 played?: Mali U17 vs Belgium U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Père-Jégo, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.