Mali vs Cape Verde Islands: result 3-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade 26 Mars, Bamako
Full time
What was the result of Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
Mali won 3-1 on September 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′A. TiaMali
- 10′S. Lopes CabralCape Verde Islands
- 39′N. DorgelesMali
- 51′N. DorgelesMali
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Mali win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Mali vs Cape Verde Islands
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mali
4-2-3-1- 17L. Sinayoko
- 7N. Dorgeles
- 10K. Doumbia
- 12A. Tia
- 4A. Haidara
- 8M. Sangaré
- 2H. Traoré
- 14N. Gassama
- 25O. Camara
- 19A. Camara
- 16D. Diarra
Cape Verde Islands
4-1-4-1- 9Gilson Benchimol
- 20Ryan Mendes
- 10Jamiro Monteiro
- 14Deroy Duarte
- 11Garry Rodrigues
- 6Kevin Pina
- 13S. Lopes Cabral
- 3Diney Borges
- 4Pico
- 2Wagner Pina
- 1Vózinha
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mali have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Cape Verde Islands have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Iran(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Russia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tunisia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Comoros(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Uruguay(away) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Spain(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bermuda(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Mali score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cape Verde Islands score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mali | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Cape Verde Islands | 1.6 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mali sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Cape Verde Islands sit 3rd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cape Verde Islands | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
A question about Mali vs Cape Verde Islands?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy