Manchester United vs AS Roma: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Old Trafford, Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for AS Roma. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester United vs AS Roma?
On Elo ratings, Manchester United has 2,291 points and AS Roma 2,206.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manchester United vs AS Roma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manchester United
4-2-3-1- 10Matheus Cunha
- 18Y. Tielemans
- 19B. Mbeumo
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 37K. Mainoo
- 9M. Rashford
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 5H. Maguire
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 1S. Lammens
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 21P. Dybala
- 4B. Cristante
- 43Wesley
- 17M. Koné
- 20N. Molina
- 77E. Lulli
- 2D. Rensch
- 23G. Mancini
- 22Hermoso
- 5E. Ndicka
- 99M. Svilar
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; AS Roma have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Everton(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 4-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Manchester United win, 0 draws, 1 AS Roma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2021 | AS Roma 3-2 Manchester United | UEFA Europa League |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Manchester United 6-2 AS Roma | UEFA Europa League |
Last archived meeting: AS Roma vs Manchester United on May 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester United score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AS Roma | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester United sit 4th in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 1 match) and AS Roma sit 17th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Manchester United vs AS Roma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester United vs AS Roma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for AS Roma.
- Where and when is Manchester United vs AS Roma played?
- Manchester United vs AS Roma is played on November 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.