Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Princes, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for AS Roma. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,122 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma?
Paris Saint Germain starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,369 vs 2,229).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 10O. Dembélé
- 14D. Doué
- 7K. Kvaratskhelia
- 17Vitinha
- 8Fabián Ruiz
- 87João Neves
- 2A. Hakimi
- 51W. Pacho
- 5Marquinhos
- 21L. Hernández
- 39M. Safonov
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 14D. Malen
- 15M. de Roon
- 43Wesley
- 20N. Molina
- 61N. Pisilli
- 86Rodrigo Mora
- 7L. Pellegrini
- 22Hermoso
- 26L. Balerdi
- 87D. Ghilardi
- 95P. Gollini
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris Saint Germain have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; AS Roma have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Como(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Paris Saint Germain wins, 1 draw, 0 AS Roma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2017 | AS Roma 1-1 Paris Saint Germain | International Champions Cup |
Last archived meeting: AS Roma vs Paris Saint Germain on Jul 20, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Paris Saint Germain score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| AS Roma | 2.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 3 matches) and AS Roma sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for AS Roma.
- Where and when is Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma played?
- Paris Saint Germain vs AS Roma is played on November 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Parc des Princes, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.