Match

1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaMatchday 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC KölnRB Leipzig

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,216 vs 2,047).

35%24%41%
1. FC Köln winDrawRB Leipzig win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1. FC Köln

3-5-2
  1. 30M. Bülter
  2. 10S. El Mala
  1. 37L. Maina
  2. 3B. Sosa
  3. 28S. Sebulonsen
  4. 23Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
  5. 47M. Moore
  1. 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  2. 5T. Krauß
  3. 2J. Schmied
  1. 1M. Schwäbe

RB Leipzig

4-5-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 6E. Banzuzi
  2. 21N. El Aynaoui
  3. 10B. Gruda
  4. 27T. Gomis
  5. 28C. Nkunku
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 23C. Lukeba
  4. 17R. Baku
  1. 26Maarten Vandevoordt

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 05:28 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; RB Leipzig have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)1-2Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026Union Berlin(away)1-1Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Union Berlin(home)5-0DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)0-0Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)0-1Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Augsburg(home)5-2Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2026Manchester City(home)2-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 31, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026SV Elversberg(home)4-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 1. FC Köln wins, 2 draws, 4 RB Leipzig wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 20261. FC Köln 1-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Sep 20, 2025RB Leipzig 3-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Mar 15, 20241. FC Köln 1-5 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Oct 28, 2023RB Leipzig 6-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Feb 4, 20231. FC Köln 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Aug 13, 2022RB Leipzig 2-2 1. FC KölnBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln2.11.3311/1511/15
RB Leipzig2.71.777/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 15th in Bundesliga (9 points from 9 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 4th (18 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4RB Leipzig9603271318
151. FC Köln923410149

A question about 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig played?
1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: 1. FC Köln and RB Leipzig