Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig played?

1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

RB Leipzig

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (2,211 vs 2,038).

1. FC Köln win36 %

Draw23 %

RB Leipzig win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; RB Leipzig have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga
May 10, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	1-3	Bundesliga

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 1. FC Köln win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 RB Leipzig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	1. FC Köln 1-2 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025	RB Leipzig 3-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Mar 15, 2024	1. FC Köln 1-5 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2023	RB Leipzig 6-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Feb 4, 2023	1. FC Köln 0-0 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Aug 13, 2022	RB Leipzig 2-2 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 3rd (65 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig played?: 1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.