Mantova vs Carrarese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mantova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mantova vs Carrarese?
On Elo ratings, Mantova has 1,927 points and Carrarese 1,844.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mantova vs Carrarese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 9E. Gliozzi
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 19F. Ruocco
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 21S. Trimboli
- 80R. Kouda
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 23M. Braunöder
- 28J. Martini
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 06:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mantova have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Carrarese have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Mantova wins, 3 draws, 0 Carrarese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrarese 1-2 Mantova | Serie B |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Mantova 1-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Carrarese 0-0 Mantova | Serie B |
| May 9, 2025 | Mantova 2-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Carrarese 1-1 Mantova | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Mantova score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mantova sit 2nd in Serie B (17 points from 8 matches) and Carrarese sit 17th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Mantova vs Carrarese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mantova vs Carrarese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Mantova vs Carrarese played?
- Mantova vs Carrarese is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Danilo Martelli, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.