Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
The Footlab model makes Mantova the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vicenza Virtus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Mantova (1,865) and Vicenza Virtus (1,962).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mantova have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| May 2, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Mantova win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vicenza Virtus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Mantova 1-2 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Vicenza Virtus 0-2 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Mantova 2-6 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Vicenza Virtus 2-1 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Mantova | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus on Apr 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mantova score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mantova sit 3rd in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Mantova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab model makes Mantova the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Vicenza Virtus.
- Where and when is Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus is played on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Danilo Martelli, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.