Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Vicenza Virtus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mantova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Mantova (1,906) and Vicenza Virtus (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 19F. Ruocco
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 80R. Kouda
- 30D. Bragantini
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 41Jonathan Silva
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Vicenza Virtus
3-5-2- 33S. Merkaj
- 11G. Moncini
- 29L. Zonta
- 26G. Pellizzari
- 32F. Costa
- 8A. Bellemo
- 21T. Corazza
- 5R. Marchizza
- 23N. Brighenti
- 14G. Cuomo
- 16R. Gagno
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mantova have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Koper(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Mantova win, 1 draw, 3 Vicenza Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Mantova 1-2 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Vicenza Virtus 0-2 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Mantova 2-6 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Vicenza Virtus 2-1 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Mantova | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus on Apr 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mantova sit 2nd in Serie B (14 points from 7 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 17 | Vicenza Virtus | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Vicenza Virtus.
- Where and when is Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Mantova vs Vicenza Virtus is played on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Danilo Martelli, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.