Match

Melilla vs Atlético Porcuna: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla

MelillaAtlético Porcuna

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Atlético Porcuna. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,249 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melilla vs Atlético Porcuna?

Melilla starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,697).

58%26%16%
Melilla winDrawAtlético Porcuna win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Melilla vs Atlético Porcuna

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Atlético Porcuna

Not enough data to predict the Atlético Porcuna lineup.

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 05:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Porcuna have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Granada II(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 31, 2026Málaga II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 24, 2026Cantoria(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Atlético Porcuna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Mancha Real(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Arenas Armilla(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Marbelli(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Melilla(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Motril(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Melilla wins, 0 draws, 1 Atlético Porcuna win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna 2-0 MelillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Atlético Porcuna vs Melilla on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Melilla score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Porcuna score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Melilla1.51.156/157/15
Atlético Porcuna1.21.858/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Melilla sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (23 points from 10 matches) and Atlético Porcuna sit 12th (13 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla1072117723
12Atlético Porcuna10343121813

A question about Melilla vs Atlético Porcuna?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Atlético Porcuna?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Atlético Porcuna.
Where and when is Melilla vs Atlético Porcuna played?
Melilla vs Atlético Porcuna is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Melilla and Atlético Porcuna

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