Match

Motril vs Cantoria: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril

MotrilCantoria

The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Cantoria. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motril vs Cantoria?

Motril starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,708).

70%21%9%
Motril winDrawCantoria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Motril vs Cantoria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Motril

Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.

Cantoria

Not enough data to predict the Cantoria lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Cantoria have 0, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motril
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cantoria(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026UD San Pedro(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Alhaurino(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Malaga City(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Cantoria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Motril(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Churriana Vega(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Almería II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Granada II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Málaga II(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Motril win, 0 draws, 0 Cantoria wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cantoria 0-2 MotrilTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Cantoria vs Motril on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motril score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cantoria score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Motril1.10.958/154/15
Cantoria0.61.703/72/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motril sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 7 matches) and Cantoria sit 16th (3 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Motril743011515
16Cantoria70344123

A question about Motril vs Cantoria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motril vs Cantoria?
The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 70%, against 21% for a draw and 9% for Cantoria.
Where and when is Motril vs Cantoria played?
Motril vs Cantoria is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Motril and Cantoria

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