Where and when is Mancha Real vs Malaga City played?

Mancha Real vs Malaga City is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mancha Real vs Malaga City: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real

Mancha Real

Malaga City

The Footlab model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mancha Real vs Malaga City?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Mancha Real (1,694) and Malaga City (1,597).

Mancha Real win50 %

Draw29 %

Malaga City win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mancha Real
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Granada II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Vega(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	Huétor Tájar(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Malaga City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Arenas Armilla(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 4, 2025	Polideportivo Almería(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 1, 2025	Real Jaén(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 27, 2025	Mancha Real(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2025	Mijas Las Lagunas(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Mancha Real win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Malaga City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2025	Malaga City 4-1 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 8, 2024	Mancha Real 3-2 Malaga City	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 14, 2024	Malaga City 1-0 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 26, 2023	Mancha Real 2-1 Malaga City	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Mancha Real on Apr 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mancha Real	1.0	1.0	6	6/15	6/15
Malaga City	1.0	2.0	0	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Mancha Real	34	9	10	15	30	38	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Malaga City?: The Footlab model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Malaga City.
Where and when is Mancha Real vs Malaga City played?: Mancha Real vs Malaga City is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.