Match

Mancha Real vs Malaga City: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real

Mancha RealMalaga City

The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mancha Real vs Malaga City?

Mancha Real starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,563).

62%23%15%
Mancha Real winDrawMalaga City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Malaga City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mancha Real

Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.

Malaga City

4-3-3
  1. JJuanfran
  2. RR. Gómez
  3. JJosu Ozkoidi
  1. ÓÓscar Puente
  2. FF. Irisarri
  3. AAndrés del Río
  1. 2Chechu
  2. RRaúl Fernández Ortega
  3. JJuanjo
  4. AAntonio Contreras Lozano
  1. FFernando Padilla

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mancha Real
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Malaga City(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Torre del Mar(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Huétor Vega(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Atletico de Marbella(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Malaga City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Mancha Real(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Marbelli(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Melilla(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Motril(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Mancha Real wins, 0 draws, 2 Malaga City wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Malaga City 1-2 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 27, 2025Malaga City 4-1 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 8, 2024Mancha Real 3-2 Malaga CityTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 14, 2024Malaga City 1-0 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 26, 2023Mancha Real 2-1 Malaga CityTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Malaga City vs Mancha Real on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mancha Real score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mancha Real0.91.339/157/15
Malaga City1.12.3010/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mancha Real sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (2 points from 6 matches) and Malaga City sit 18th (0 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Mancha Real60243102
18Malaga City60064160

A question about Mancha Real vs Malaga City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Malaga City?
The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Malaga City.
Where and when is Mancha Real vs Malaga City played?
Mancha Real vs Malaga City is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mancha Real and Malaga City

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