Almería II vs Granada II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería
The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Granada II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almería II vs Granada II?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Almería II (1,755) and Granada II (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Granada II have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Almería II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Granada II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Almería II 3-1 Granada II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Granada II 1-1 Almería II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Granada II 2-1 Almería II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Almería II vs Granada II on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería II | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Granada II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Granada II | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Granada II?
- The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Granada II.
- Where and when is Almería II vs Granada II played?
- Almería II vs Granada II is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027MelillavsAtlético Porcuna
- Feb 14, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsTorre del Mar
- Feb 14, 2027Huétor VegavsAtletico de Marbella
- Feb 14, 2027Mancha RealvsMalaga City
- Feb 14, 2027MotrilvsCantoria
- Feb 14, 2027Arenas ArmillavsAlhaurino
- Feb 14, 2027MarbellivsUD San Pedro
- Feb 14, 2027Churriana VegavsMálaga II