Marienlyst vs VSK Århus: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Marienlystcentret, Odense
The Footlab model makes VSK Århus the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Marienlyst. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marienlyst vs VSK Århus?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Marienlyst (1,734) and VSK Århus (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marienlyst have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; VSK Århus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hedensted(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | ØB(away) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Esbjerg II(home) | 2-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Tarup-Paarup(away) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Horsens II(home) | 7-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fremad Amager(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | tst Fodbold(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HIK(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Marienlyst win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 VSK Århus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | VSK Århus 0-1 Marienlyst | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: VSK Århus vs Marienlyst on Feb 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Marienlyst score 2.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; VSK Århus score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marienlyst | 2.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| VSK Århus | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marienlyst vs VSK Århus?
- The Footlab model makes VSK Århus the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Marienlyst.
- Where and when is Marienlyst vs VSK Århus played?
- Marienlyst vs VSK Århus is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Marienlystcentret, in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.