Harborough Town vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Bowden Park, Market Harborough, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harborough Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Buxton?
On Elo ratings, Harborough Town has 1,983 points and Buxton 1,906.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harborough Town vs Buxton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harborough Town
Not enough data to predict the Harborough Town lineup.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harborough Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Buxton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Southport(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Harborough Town score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborough Town | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harborough Town sit 17th in National League - North (15 points from 11 matches) and Buxton sit 11th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 17 | Harborough Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Harborough Town vs Buxton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harborough Town vs Buxton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Buxton.
- Where and when is Harborough Town vs Buxton played?
- Harborough Town vs Buxton is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Bowden Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.