Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame
The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Matsumoto Yamaga starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Matsumoto Yamaga have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ehime FC(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 0-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Matsumoto Yamaga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-2 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-4 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga | J3 League |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kamatamare Sanuki on Oct 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Matsumoto Yamaga score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Matsumoto Yamaga sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
- The Footlab model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga played?
- Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.