Match

Wisła Płock II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, Płock

Wisła Płock IIMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Wisła Płock II (1,762) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,752).

Wisła Płock II win41 %
Draw23 %
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisła Płock II have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisła Płock II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)3-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Łomża(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Swit(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Troszyn(away)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)2-3III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wisła Płock II1.71.5112/159/15
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2.31.806/66/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisła Płock II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki531113910
9Wisła Płock II5221988

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisła Płock II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
The Footlab model makes Wisła Płock II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Wisła Płock II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?
Wisła Płock II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bernarda Szymańskiego, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wisła Płock II and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

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