Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab model makes Singida Black Stars the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City?
Singida Black Stars starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Singida Black Stars have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Mbeya City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mogadishu City(away) | 4-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Singida Black Stars win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mbeya City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Singida Black Stars 4-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mbeya City 1-4 Singida Black Stars | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City on May 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Singida Black Stars score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mbeya City score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singida Black Stars | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Mbeya City | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Singida Black Stars sit 8th in Ligi kuu Bara (4 points from 3 matches) and Mbeya City sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mbeya City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City?
- The Footlab model makes Singida Black Stars the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City played?
- Singida Black Stars vs Mbeya City is played on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.