Tabora United vs Kagera Sugar: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora
The Footlab AI model makes Tabora United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tabora United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tabora United vs Kagera Sugar?
Tabora United starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,617 vs 1,508).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tabora United vs Kagera Sugar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tabora United
4-3-3- 30J. Akandwanaho
- 26Ayoub Lyanga
- 45E. Mwanengo
- 6S. Hoza
- 55Tobias Otieno
- 19M. Yassin
- 5N. Kombo
- 4Shariff Majabe
- 22J. Lazarus
- 60E. Manyama
- 18D. Mgore
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tabora United have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kagera Sugar have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tabora United wins, 1 draw, 1 Kagera Sugar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | Kagera Sugar 1-2 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Tabora United 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Tabora United 0-3 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Tabora United | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Kagera Sugar vs Tabora United on Feb 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tabora United score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabora United | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Kagera Sugar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tabora United sit 13th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 7 matches) and Kagera Sugar sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Tabora United vs Kagera Sugar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tabora United vs Kagera Sugar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tabora United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Tabora United vs Kagera Sugar played?
- Tabora United vs Kagera Sugar is played on May 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.