Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Romano, Mérida
The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Mérida AD (1,876) and Unionistas de Salamanca (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mérida AD have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Unionistas de Salamanca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mérida AD win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Unionistas de Salamanca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Mérida AD 1-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Unionistas de Salamanca 2-0 Mérida AD | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Unionistas de Salamanca 0-1 Mérida AD | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Mérida AD 1-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mérida AD score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas de Salamanca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida AD | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Unionistas de Salamanca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mérida AD sit 10th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 38 matches) and Unionistas de Salamanca sit 8th (56 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| 10 | Mérida AD | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 53 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
- The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Mérida AD.
- Where and when is Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca played?
- Mérida AD vs Unionistas de Salamanca is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Romano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.