Middlesbrough vs West Ham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Middlesbrough. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Ham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs West Ham?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,121 vs 2,009).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Middlesbrough vs West Ham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
West Ham
4-4-2- 11V. Castellanos
- 9J. Piroe
- 7A. Engels
- 14D. Mukasa
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 2K. Walker-Peters
- 5Morato
- 1M. Hermansen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; West Ham have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Middlesbrough wins, 2 draws, 2 West Ham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | Middlesbrough 1-3 West Ham | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2016 | West Ham 1-1 Middlesbrough | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2012 | West Ham 1-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Middlesbrough 0-2 West Ham | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs West Ham on Jan 21, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; West Ham score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| West Ham | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 2nd in Championship (21 points from 10 matches) and West Ham sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Middlesbrough vs West Ham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs West Ham?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Middlesbrough.
- Where and when is Middlesbrough vs West Ham played?
- Middlesbrough vs West Ham is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Riverside Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.