Sheffield Utd vs Millwall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Millwall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Millwall?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Sheffield Utd (1,924) and Millwall (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Millwall have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sheffield Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Millwall 1-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Millwall 0-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Millwall 3-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Millwall 0-2 Sheffield Utd | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Millwall vs Sheffield Utd on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 15th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Millwall?
- The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Millwall.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Millwall played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Millwall is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.