Midland vs Nueva Chicago: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, Libertad, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Midland the favourite at 68%, against 23% for a draw and 8% for Nueva Chicago. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
Midland starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Midland have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nueva Chicago have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 2-2 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Midland win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nueva Chicago win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Nueva Chicago 2-2 Midland | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Nueva Chicago vs Midland on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Midland score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nueva Chicago score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midland | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Nueva Chicago | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Midland sit 5th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 24 matches) and Nueva Chicago sit 14th (29 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Midland | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 38 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 23 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
- The Footlab model makes Midland the favourite at 68%, against 23% for a draw and 8% for Nueva Chicago.
- Where and when is Midland vs Nueva Chicago played?
- Midland vs Nueva Chicago is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ferrocarril Midland, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.