Match

Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero

Atletico MitreCentral Norte

The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Atletico Mitre (1,710) and Central Norte (1,695).

Atletico Mitre win47 %
Draw29 %
Central Norte win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Mitre have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Central Norte have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico Mitre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Deportivo Madryn(away)0-4Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Club Atlético Güemes(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Defensores De Belgrano(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Ciudad de Bolívar(away)2-0Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Almirante Brown(home)0-0Primera Nacional
Central Norte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026CA Estudiantes(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026All Boys(away)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Los Andes(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Godoy Cruz(away)1-2Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Atletico Mitre win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Central Norte win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Central Norte 1-1 Atletico MitrePrimera Nacional
Jul 27, 2025Atletico Mitre 0-2 Central NortePrimera Nacional
Mar 23, 2025Central Norte 0-2 Atletico MitrePrimera Nacional
Feb 7, 2017Central Norte 0-0 Atletico MitreCopa Argentina
Feb 5, 2017Atletico Mitre 1-2 Central NorteCopa Argentina

Last archived meeting: Central Norte vs Atletico Mitre on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atletico Mitre1.01.557/158/15
Central Norte0.91.249/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico Mitre sit 12th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and Central Norte sit 13th (27 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Atletico Mitre266119253329
13Central Norte256910172527

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte?
The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Central Norte.
Where and when is Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte played?
Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Aurinegro, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atletico Mitre and Central Norte

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