Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero
The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Atletico Mitre (1,710) and Central Norte (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Mitre have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Central Norte have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Atletico Mitre win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Central Norte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Central Norte 1-1 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Atletico Mitre 0-2 Central Norte | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Central Norte 0-2 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 7, 2017 | Central Norte 0-0 Atletico Mitre | Copa Argentina |
| Feb 5, 2017 | Atletico Mitre 1-2 Central Norte | Copa Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Central Norte vs Atletico Mitre on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mitre | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Central Norte | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Mitre sit 12th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and Central Norte sit 13th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Central Norte.
- Where and when is Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte played?
- Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Aurinegro, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 22, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsAgropecuario
- Aug 29, 2026Gimnasia Y TirovsChacarita Juniors
- Aug 29, 2026ColegialesvsDeportivo Maipu
- Aug 29, 2026MidlandvsNueva Chicago
- Aug 29, 2026Ciudad de BolívarvsDefensores De Belgrano
- Aug 29, 2026Atletico DE RafaelavsTristan Suarez
- Aug 30, 2026Almirante BrownvsDeportivo Madryn