Where and when is Patronato vs Almagro played?

Patronato vs Almagro is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Patronato vs Almagro: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná, Provincia de Entre Ríos

Patronato

Almagro

The Footlab model makes Patronato the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Almagro. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Patronato vs Almagro?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Patronato (1,708) and Almagro (1,704).

Patronato win46 %

Draw30 %

Almagro win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Patronato have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Almagro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Patronato
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gimnasia Jujuy(home)	3-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Colon Santa Fe(away)	0-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Colegiales(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Quilmes(home)	3-3	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Midland(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional

Almagro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Colegiales(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Moron(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Quilmes(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Midland(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Patronato win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Almagro win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Almagro 0-1 Patronato	Primera Nacional
Sep 28, 2025	Patronato 0-0 Almagro	Primera Nacional
May 25, 2025	Almagro 2-1 Patronato	Primera Nacional
Oct 7, 2023	Almagro 2-1 Patronato	Primera Nacional
May 28, 2023	Patronato 1-0 Almagro	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Almagro vs Patronato on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Patronato score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Patronato	1.1	1.3	2	9/15	5/15
Almagro	1.0	1.0	5	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Patronato sit 17th in Primera Nacional (25 points from 25 matches) and Almagro sit 13th (31 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Almagro	26	8	7	11	21	29	31
17	Patronato	25	4	13	8	21	29	25

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Patronato vs Almagro?: The Footlab model makes Patronato the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Almagro.
Where and when is Patronato vs Almagro played?: Patronato vs Almagro is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.