Match

Quilmes vs Temperley: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes, Provincia de Buenos Aires

QuilmesTemperley

The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Temperley. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Quilmes vs Temperley?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Quilmes (1,765) and Temperley (1,816).

Quilmes win44 %
Draw33 %
Temperley win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quilmes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Temperley have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Quilmes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Deportivo Maipu(away)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026San Telmo(home)3-0Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Almagro(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026Gimnasia Jujuy(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Patronato(away)3-3Primera Nacional
Temperley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Los Andes(home)3-0Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Atlanta(away)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)1-2Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026San Martin Tucuman(away)2-1Primera Nacional
Jul 17, 2026Atletico DE Rafaela(home)2-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Quilmes win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Temperley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Temperley 3-3 QuilmesPrimera Nacional
Jun 22, 2024Temperley 1-0 QuilmesPrimera Nacional
Feb 3, 2024Quilmes 2-0 TemperleyPrimera Nacional
Aug 20, 2022Temperley 2-3 QuilmesPrimera Nacional
Aug 15, 2021Temperley 2-2 QuilmesPrimera Nacional
Apr 4, 2021Quilmes 2-0 TemperleyPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Temperley vs Quilmes on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Quilmes score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Temperley score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Quilmes1.10.965/155/15
Temperley1.31.057/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Quilmes sit 9th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 25 matches) and Temperley sit 4th (40 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Temperley2510105272140
9Quilmes25889272132

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Quilmes vs Temperley?
The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Temperley.
Where and when is Quilmes vs Temperley played?
Quilmes vs Temperley is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Quilmes and Temperley

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