Quilmes vs Temperley: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Temperley. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quilmes vs Temperley?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Quilmes (1,765) and Temperley (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quilmes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Temperley have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atlanta(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Quilmes win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Temperley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Temperley 3-3 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Temperley 1-0 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Quilmes 2-0 Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Temperley 2-3 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Temperley 2-2 Quilmes | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Quilmes 2-0 Temperley | Primera Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Quilmes score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Temperley score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quilmes | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Temperley | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quilmes sit 9th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 25 matches) and Temperley sit 4th (40 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Temperley | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 9 | Quilmes | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 21 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quilmes vs Temperley?
- The Footlab model makes Quilmes the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Temperley.
- Where and when is Quilmes vs Temperley played?
- Quilmes vs Temperley is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 22, 2026Los AndesvsAcassuso
- Aug 22, 2026Gimnasia JujuyvsAgropecuario
- Aug 29, 2026Gimnasia Y TirovsChacarita Juniors
- Aug 29, 2026ColegialesvsDeportivo Maipu
- Aug 29, 2026MidlandvsNueva Chicago
- Aug 29, 2026Ciudad de BolívarvsDefensores De Belgrano
- Aug 29, 2026Atletico DE RafaelavsTristan Suarez
- Aug 30, 2026Atletico MitrevsCentral Norte