Where and when is Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel played?

Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Morón, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Deportivo Moron

San Miguel

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel?

Deportivo Moron starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,712).

Deportivo Moron win69 %

Draw21 %

San Miguel win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Moron have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; San Miguel have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Moron
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	San Telmo(away)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Almagro(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Acassuso(home)	4-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Chaco For Ever(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Ferro Carril Oeste(home)	4-0	Primera Nacional

San Miguel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Colon Santa Fe(home)	1-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Colegiales(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Racing Cordoba(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	San Telmo(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Acassuso(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Deportivo Moron win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 San Miguel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	San Miguel 2-1 Deportivo Moron	Primera Nacional
Oct 19, 2024	San Miguel 0-1 Deportivo Moron	Primera Nacional
Jun 2, 2024	Deportivo Moron 0-1 San Miguel	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: San Miguel vs Deportivo Moron on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Moron score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Moron	1.7	1.0	5	7/15	8/15
San Miguel	0.8	1.0	5	6/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Moron sit 2nd in Primera Nacional (45 points from 25 matches) and San Miguel sit 11th (29 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Deportivo Moron	25	13	6	6	41	24	45
11	San Miguel	25	6	11	8	20	25	29

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel?: The Footlab model makes Deportivo Moron the favourite at 69%, against 21% for a draw and 10% for San Miguel.
Where and when is Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel played?: Deportivo Moron vs San Miguel is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.