Where and when is Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes played?

Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio República de Mataderos, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 28Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio República de Mataderos, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Nueva Chicago

Quilmes

The Footlab model makes Nueva Chicago the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Quilmes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Nueva Chicago (1,716) and Quilmes (1,765).

Nueva Chicago win35 %

Draw32 %

Quilmes win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nueva Chicago have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Quilmes have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nueva Chicago
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlanta(home)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 17, 2026	All Boys(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	San Martin Tucuman(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	Atletico DE Rafaela(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional

Quilmes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	San Telmo(home)	3-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Almagro(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026	Gimnasia Jujuy(home)	2-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Patronato(away)	3-3	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Colegiales(home)	0-1	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nueva Chicago win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Quilmes win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Quilmes 0-0 Nueva Chicago	Primera Nacional
Nov 16, 2024	Nueva Chicago 1-0 Quilmes	Primera Nacional
Nov 10, 2024	Quilmes 0-0 Nueva Chicago	Primera Nacional
Oct 3, 2022	Nueva Chicago 2-1 Quilmes	Primera Nacional
Oct 24, 2021	Quilmes 3-1 Nueva Chicago	Primera Nacional
Jun 28, 2021	Nueva Chicago 1-1 Quilmes	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nueva Chicago score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Quilmes score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nueva Chicago	0.7	1.2	3	5/15	4/15
Quilmes	1.1	0.9	7	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nueva Chicago sit 14th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 25 matches) and Quilmes sit 9th (32 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Quilmes	25	8	8	9	27	21	32
14	Nueva Chicago	25	7	8	10	20	24	29

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?: The Footlab model makes Nueva Chicago the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Quilmes.
Where and when is Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes played?: Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio República de Mataderos, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.