Millwall vs Lincoln: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Millwall. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lincoln wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Millwall (2,016) and Lincoln (2,065).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millwall vs Lincoln
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 7T. Arconte
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 13L. Dykes
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 17M. Sykes
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 15M. Crocombe
Lincoln
3-4-2-1- 34F. Draper
- 14C. McGrandles
- 3A. Reach
- 18B. House
- 7R. Hackett
- 8T. Bayliss
- 4A. Coubiș
- 25D. Elerewe
- 15S. Bradley
- 6R. Towler
- 1G. Wickens
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lincoln have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lincoln | 1.0 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 11th in Championship (11 points from 8 matches) and Lincoln sit 12th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Millwall vs Lincoln?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millwall vs Lincoln?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Millwall.
- Where and when is Millwall vs Lincoln played?
- Millwall vs Lincoln is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Den, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.