Millwall vs Portsmouth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Den, London
The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 1-1. If Millwall wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millwall vs Portsmouth?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Millwall (1,959) and Portsmouth (1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millwall vs Portsmouth
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 13L. Dykes
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 22K. Lisbie
- 17M. Sykes
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 34F. Marschall
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1- 29M. Milovanović
- 11A. Kamara
- 7M. Pack
- 25R. Kavuma McQueen
- 10A. Segecic
- 17T. Shade
- 16J. Meghoma
- 22Z. Swanson
- 55M. Dia
- 5R. Poole
- 1N. Schmid
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Portsmouth have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Millwall wins, 0 draws, 2 Portsmouth wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Millwall 1-3 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Portsmouth 3-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Millwall 2-1 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall | League Cup |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Millwall 2-1 Portsmouth | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Millwall vs Portsmouth on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portsmouth score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Portsmouth | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 11th in Championship (14 points from 10 matches) and Portsmouth sit 16th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Millwall vs Portsmouth?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millwall vs Portsmouth?
- The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is Millwall vs Portsmouth played?
- Millwall vs Portsmouth is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Den, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.