Watford vs Wolves: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wolves wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Watford vs Wolves?
Wolves starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Watford vs Wolves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 7O. Maamma
- 20M. Doumbia
- 6M. Pollock
- 23O. Traoré
- 4K. Keben
- 33J. Zemura
- 1F. Ravaglia
Wolves
4-2-3-1- 10A. Armstrong
- 7André
- 36M. Mane
- 28Fer López
- 21Rodrigo Gomes
- 5M. Munetsi
- 34N. Djiga
- 3Hugo Bueno
- 2K. Trippier
- 37L. Krejčí
- 1José Sá
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Wolves have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford wins, 0 draws, 4 Wolves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | Wolves 4-0 Watford | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Watford 0-2 Wolves | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Watford 2-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Wolves 2-0 Watford | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Watford 1-2 Wolves | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Watford 3-2 Wolves | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Wolves score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Wolves | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 22nd in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and Wolves sit 9th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Watford vs Wolves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Watford vs Wolves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wolves the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Watford.
- Where and when is Watford vs Wolves played?
- Watford vs Wolves is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Vicarage Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.