Southampton vs West Ham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for West Ham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southampton vs West Ham?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Southampton (2,101) and West Ham (2,162).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southampton vs West Ham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 3R. Manning
- 1Daniel Peretz
West Ham
4-2-3-1- 19Pablo
- 7A. Engels
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 14D. Mukasa
- 17M. Kanté
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 5Morato
- 34J. Veltman
- 1M. Hermansen
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; West Ham have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Southampton win, 2 draws, 3 West Ham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Southampton 1-4 West Ham | League Cup |
| Apr 19, 2025 | West Ham 1-1 Southampton | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Southampton 0-1 West Ham | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | West Ham 1-0 Southampton | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Southampton 1-1 West Ham | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2022 | Southampton 3-1 West Ham | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs West Ham on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; West Ham score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| West Ham | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 7th in Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and West Ham sit 2nd (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
A question about Southampton vs West Ham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southampton vs West Ham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for West Ham.
- Where and when is Southampton vs West Ham played?
- Southampton vs West Ham is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.