Match

Mirandes vs Ponferradina: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

MirandesPonferradina

The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ponferradina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirandes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,757 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandes vs Ponferradina?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,927) and Ponferradina (1,982).

36%29%35%
Mirandes winDrawPonferradina win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mirandes vs Ponferradina

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mirandes

4-3-3
  1. 9I. Unzueta
  2. 11Aitor Uzkudun
  3. 10Nico Espinosa
  1. 16Markel Lozano
  2. 23Josué Dorrio
  3. 19Ricardo de Moraes
  1. 8R. Martinez
  2. 24Joaquín Fernández
  3. 17Pablo Pérez
  4. 22Martín Aguirregabiria
  1. 1Jesús Ruiz

Ponferradina

4-2-3-1
  1. 10Borja Valle
  1. 6Fede San Emeterio
  2. 15O. Vacas
  3. 5Eneko Undabarrena
  4. 8Arturo Molina
  5. 16Ntji Tounkara
  1. 4A. Jelbat
  2. 22E. Hernandez
  3. 3Sergio Nieto
  4. 23A. Roig
  1. 1Álex Domínguez

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 06:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ponferradina have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)3-3Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Barakaldo(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Zamora(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Llanera(away)1-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Barakaldo(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 17, 2026Zamora(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Real Avilés(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mirandes(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mirandes wins, 1 draw, 3 Ponferradina wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Ponferradina 1-0 MirandesPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 26, 2023Ponferradina 0-0 MirandesSegunda División
Dec 17, 2022Mirandes 2-1 PonferradinaSegunda División
Mar 27, 2022Mirandes 3-1 PonferradinaSegunda División
Dec 5, 2021Ponferradina 2-1 MirandesSegunda División
Feb 19, 2021Ponferradina 1-0 MirandesSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Ponferradina vs Mirandes on Oct 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mirandes1.31.265/155/15
Ponferradina0.91.267/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mirandes sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (14 points from 9 matches) and Ponferradina sit 10th (13 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Mirandes9423121014
10Ponferradina93426613

A question about Mirandes vs Ponferradina?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Ponferradina?
The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ponferradina.
Where and when is Mirandes vs Ponferradina played?
Mirandes vs Ponferradina is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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